Insights

Dr. Peter Dailey

Head of Research

Dr. Peter Dailey
Head of Research

Dr. Peter Dailey serves as Head of Research of Aeolus. Dr. Dailey is also a member of Aeolus’ ESG Committee. His primary responsibilities include leading Aeolus’ research function which works to improve risk analytics, refine portfolio management and enhance the investor experience. Dr. Dailey also acts as a liaison with the research and scientific communities, and serves as a company spokesperson on important topics such as climate change. Dr. Dailey has over 20 years of risk management and (re)insurance industry experience. Prior to joining Aeolus in 2021, he served as Vice President of Model Development at Risk Management Solutions Inc. (“RMS”), a major catastrophe modeling provider. During his time with RMS, from 2017 to 2021, Dr. Dailey managed the U.S. Flood Model product suite, directed U.S. and U.K. based event response teams and provided strategic direction to senior leadership on topics such as hurricane modeling and climate change risk. Between 2013 and 2017, he managed various risk modeling projects at Urban Enterprise Partners Inc., a P&C consulting firm he founded. Previously, Dr. Dailey was Vice President of Research and Modeling at AIR Worldwide Corp (“AIR”), from 2001 to 2013, where he led the development of risk models for hurricanes, winter storms and convective storms, post-event loss assessment and real-time forecasting. Dr. Dailey holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and a Bachelor of Applied Science from the University of Pennsylvania. Dr. Dailey also holds master’s and Ph.D. degrees from the University of California, Los Angeles.

“The potential implications of climate change on insured risk have become too consequential to be avoided.”

Dr. Peter Dailey is our Head of Research and has over 20 years of risk management and (re)insurance industry experience. A renowned expert on hurricane modeling and climate change risk, Dr. Dailey is responsible for our research function, which is designed to improve risk analytics, refine portfolio management and develop even deeper technical insight and decision tools to enhance the investor experience. He also acts as a liaison with the research and scientific communities and serves as a spokesperson for Aeolus on important emerging topics like climate change.

Aeolus Climate Change Research Series

Our Climate Change Research Series investigates the relationship between our changing climate and a wide range of property catastrophe risks. Each report probes the latest published research to assess the strength of the climate change signal on property risk and explains how the findings can be leveraged for improved decision-making at Aeolus.

Aeolus InSight Reports

Aeolus InSight Reports concisely address current topics of interest or newly published research.

Aeolus InSight Report: The Case for the Counterfactual

Aeolus InSight Report: The Case for the Counterfactual

One of the value propositions of a catastrophe (CAT) model is its ability to provide a robust view of risk for events that have not yet occurred but are entirely plausible scenarios. For example, users of a robust CAT model could pose the question, “… what is the...

Special Series on AI – Part 1: AI Models De-Mystified

Special Series on AI – Part 1: AI Models De-Mystified

Artificial intelligence (“AI”) has become the latest buzzword for stamping ‘technological advancement’ on just about anything. But as we all know, the devil is in the details and when it comes to AI, the details really matter. In its most basic form, AI enables...

Aeolus Real-Time Information Service [‘ARTIS’]

Available exclusively to Aeolus investors, our Aeolus Real-Time Information Service [‘ARTIS’] provides insight to Aeolus’ investors with two real-time reports issued throughout the hurricane season.

The ARTIS Basin Summary Reports provide an overview of Atlantic basin activity “to date”, with comparisons to past seasons and
pre-season forecasts.

The ARTIS Tropical Cyclone Reports provide event-specific risk analysis for hurricanes threatening to make U.S. landfall in the next five days. Launched in 2021, ARTIS combines real-time data feeds from multiple official sources with Aeolus-proprietary risk metrics and expert commentary from Dr. Peter Dailey, Aeolus’ Head of Research.

ARTIS Atlantic Basin Summary Report

Our basin summary reports (“BSRs”) provide an overview of Atlantic tropical activity-to-date, and comparisons to long-term averages and to the official NOAA seasonal forecast. In addition, they show the season’s progress of unique activity metrics such as ACE-I (wind energy impacting land) and RIF (episodes of rapid intensification). The report provides a convenient Atlantic Basin Scorecard which tracks statistics for each observed storm individually and tallies them in a table of seasonal totals. The report also contains a Five-Day Outlook of anticipated basin activity including Expert Commentary that discusses current disturbances and their chances of development.

ARTIS Tropical Cyclone Report

Our ARTIS tropical cyclone reports (“TCRs”) keep stakeholders updated on current conditions and forecasted impacts for tropical cyclones that threaten the U.S. with landfall and potential loss. TCRs are generated twice per day using the latest available observations and forecast information. ARTIS TCRs provide an event-level analysis of current storm position, intensity and track, as well as a ‘probabilistic ensemble’ of potential loss scenarios. These scenarios cover a wide range of potential track, hazard and loss outcomes based on information from 100+ simulations derived from models running at operational forecast centers around the world. TCRs also include expert commentary explaining key conditions influencing the event and discussing uncertainties in the forecast.

To find out more, please contact a member of our Business Development and Investor Relations team